Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 15.492361 17.572954 19.778586 22.285584 25.050607 28.001564 31.383541
2025-01-05 12.227427 15.038614 18.215142 22.049515 26.530520 31.579042 37.673517
2025-01-12 9.444803 12.550884 16.278294 21.033734 26.888008 33.805604 42.539018
2025-01-19 7.369827 10.554885 14.602919 20.041146 27.061817 35.719267 47.088701
2025-01-26 6.471846 9.894204 14.464209 20.877098 29.488294 40.482365 55.384149
2025-02-02 6.077750 9.835783 15.072343 22.696841 33.276409 47.174791 66.503276
2025-02-09 5.501639 9.421513 15.117164 23.711753 36.016735 52.622929 76.277247
2025-02-16 4.786229 8.686468 14.599813 23.847508 37.502905 56.421638 84.000501
2025-02-23 4.057583 7.816603 13.767353 23.412012 38.094098 58.962409 90.070157
2025-03-02 3.484506 7.112027 13.097208 23.130297 38.843270 61.709468 96.497250
2025-03-09 3.071836 6.618936 12.700404 23.214106 40.107320 65.214790 104.109215
2025-03-16 2.664569 6.071057 12.144388 22.974537 40.825194 67.911934 110.620085
2025-03-23 2.495884 5.963619 12.353342 24.045462 43.725465 74.098422 122.678844
2025-03-30 2.223254 5.608223 12.081949 24.273609 45.275451 78.295741 131.940192
2025-04-06 1.856064 4.992846 11.259257 23.459451 45.039709 79.689976 136.977447
2025-04-13 1.534179 4.413233 10.428797 22.542242 44.544883 80.617804 141.295396
2025-04-20 1.451674 4.368247 10.646506 23.571511 47.455841 87.143139 154.641724
2025-04-27 1.472413 4.574750 11.394674 25.653494 52.319479 97.041910 173.684243
2025-05-04 1.405860 4.553270 11.662115 26.821546 55.605558 104.449688 188.960380
2025-05-11 1.264176 4.313506 11.436433 26.999650 57.103274 108.918914 199.613311
2025-05-18 1.092362 3.958140 10.913869 26.533591 57.378105 111.313092 206.927799
2025-05-25 0.953567 3.664443 10.492412 26.231179 57.924780 114.171373 215.077759
2025-06-01 0.855902 3.469546 10.275126 26.330434 59.222970 118.358246 225.551284